Publications

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Peer-reviewed articles

2024 (1), 2023 (1), 2022 (1), 2021 (1), 2020 (2), 2019 (2), 2016 (3), 2015 (1), 2010 (1)

  1. Maciejowska K., T. Serafin, B. Uniejewski (2024) Probabilistic forecasting with a hybrid Factor-QRA approach: Application to electricity trading , Electric Power Systems Research 234, 11054, (doi: 10.1016/j.epsr.2024.110541)

  2. Unijewski B., K. Maciejowska, (2023) LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling, International Journal of Forecasting, 39 (4), 1839-1852, (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.09.004)

  3. Maciejowska K., (2022) A portfolio management of a small RES utility with a Structural Vector Autoregressive model of German electricity markets, Operations Research and Decisions (forthcomming)

  4. Maciejowska K., W. Nitka, T. Weron (2021) Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices, Energy Economics 99, 105273, (doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105273)

  5. Maciejowska K. (2020) Assessing the impact of renewable energy sources on the electricity price level and variability - a quantile regression approach, Energy Economics 85, 104532, (doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2019.104532)
  6. Maciejowska K. U. Unijewski, T. Serafin(2020) PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices , Energies 13(14), 3530, (doi: 10.3390/en13143530)

  7. Maciejowska K., W. Nitka, T. Weron (2019) Day-ahead vs. intraday - forecasting the price spread to maximize economic benefits, Energies 21(4), 631, (doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/en12040631)
  8. Chodak G., A. Kowalska-Pyzalska, K. Maciejowska, J. Szwabiski(2019) Probabilistic forecasting of electricity spot prices using Factor Quantile Regression Averaging , Acta Physica Polonica. B, Proceedings Supplement 12(1), 49-74, (doi: 10.5506/APhysPolBSupp.12.49)

  9. Maciejowska K. J. Nowotarski, R. Weron (2016) PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices. , International Journal of Forecasting 32(3), 957-965, (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.12.004)
  10. Maciejowska K., J. Nowotarski (2016) A hybrid model for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electricity price forecasting , International Journal of Forecasting 32(3), 1051-1056, (doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.11.008)
  11. Maciejowska K. R. Weron (2016) Short- and mid-term forecasting of baseload electricity prices in the U.K : the impact of intra-day price relationships and market fundamentals , IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 31(2), 994-1005, (doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2015.2416433)

  12. Maciejowska K., R. Weron (2015) Forecasting of daily electricity prices with factor models : utilizing intra-day and inter-zone relationships Computational Statistics 30(3), 805-819, (doi: 10.1007/s00180-014-0531-0)

  13. Lanne M, H.Ltkepohl, K. Maciejowska (2010) Structural vector autoregressions with Markov switching Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34(2), 121-131, (doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2009.08.002)
  14. Maciejowska K. (2010) Estimation methods comparison of SVAR models with a mixture of two normal distributions Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics 4, 279-314
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Book chapters

  1. Maciejowska K. (2015) Fundamental and speculative shocks - structural analysis of electricity market . In: Stochastic models, statistics and their applications : Wrocaw, Poland, February 2015 / Ansgar Steland, Ewaryst Rafajowicz, Krzysztof Szajowski (Eds.). Cham [i in.] : Springer, p. 407-414. (Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, ISSN 2194-1009; vol. 122)

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Submitted papers and work in progress

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Theses

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